here isn’t a single, universally successful approach when it comes to investing. For example, while some investors prefer to jump onboard high-momentum stocks to ride short-term waves, others follow the Buffett approach — entering solid companies they understand when those are trading at a discount. Both strategies can deliver outstanding returns when executed properly, and most investors don’t exclusively stick to one style.   Our Advanced Dashboard reflects this duality..

I regret to inform you that this bull market should continue for a little while longer. Yes, I know — valuations across the index (and many of its components) are filthy. If you read my post “Are We in an AI Bubble?” from last year, you’ll remember that one of my arguments back then was that we were not in a bubble — yet. My reasoning was that the “AI reward” was still mostly concentrated among the companies providing the backbone of the revolution. I compared it to Cisco

We initiated our position in Marathon Digital (MARA) on November 8, 2024. From the outset, our view has been that Bitcoin miners would eventually have their moment in this cycle. The stock did experience a brief run not long after we entered, but that wasn’t the move we were targeting. We remain confident, however, in both the setup and MARA’s ability to lead when that moment truly arrives.

In our last analysis, we noted that after our Color Signal from the Margin Signal reached a very heated reading of 14 (out of 15), the chances of seeing much upside before at least a consolidation were slim. That is exactly what happened. Since then, we’ve had several consecutive down days, but realized volatility remained extremely well contained throughout this series of red candles, and the result has been modest: only –2.27% from daily close high to intraday low on QQQ, a

Following the minor 3% pullback at the start of August, the stock market timidly climbed back, with a few small hiccups driven by anticipation of upcoming economic news. Most of those reports turned out to be less than encouraging — a weaker jobs report and higher-than-expected inflation — yet the market displayed notable resilience. This aligns with the view we shared in our last update: most of our metrics leaned on the bullish side, which did not support a sharp downside m

Our SOPR-based indicator on the Datahub has triggered today, which as officially flipped our Strategy into “out mode.” In this post, we will go over what the indicator measures, what its flip signifies, and how this aligns with the current state of Bitcoin and our associated game plan.

We are happy to release our BTC Datahub. This is something we should have done earlier, but the high cost of raw data and the fact that no single provider fully covered our needs had indefinitely delayed the project. What triggered the urgency was when IntoTheBlock, one of our on-chain data providers, decided to leave TradingView last month...

The market went through a moderate series of red candles last week. Although price action looked bearish, the options market didn’t confirm the move. Some of our option metrics weakened slightly, but none came close to flipping back to red. The biggest positive surprise came Thursday night, on the eve of Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, when the SKEW—which had been holding up stubbornly—finally cooled off by 10 points. That didn’t surprise me. It reflected the lack of

As our Margin Signal’s color indicator surged to a striking 14, we viewed it as a clear opportunity to take profits. While not every market pullback is preceded by a peak in this signal, a peak is almost always followed by some degree of retracement. And indeed, just a few days later, the market dipped in response to weaker-than-expected job creation numbers. The decline was relatively mild: QQQ retraced 3.92% intraday and SPY about 3%. Despite this modest drop, fear retur