After our last post on June 10th, where we detailed why we added a new position to our portfolio, QQQ rallied a further 7% in a matter of days. Since then, the market has spent a full month consolidating without establishing any real trend.

Today we added a 24% QQQ allocation to our portfolio, bringing our total equity exposure to 75%. We are currently between signals, and positions taken in these periods are by nature more subjective. They rest on one's read of the situation rather than on a hard, backtested trigger. They don't carry the same statistical weight as a Hedge Signal call, and we'd encourage you to treat them accordingly. Here is our read, briefly.

Today, we're taking a small pause on the data analysis in order to deliver our first major DataHub update since its launch. The original scope of this update was to add detailed descriptions in a new popup window and other small fixes. It then grew into a complete re-styling of the DataHub, a new home page, a new guide page and many more small improvements that I will go into in this blog post.

Hi folks, It’s been a while since I last wrote anything. I had to leave the boat under Zackary’s captainship, not because of a lack of interest, but because I became overloaded in a way I had never anticipated. My new role as CTO AI at Robotiq came at a moment when Physical AI is exploding, adding another layer on top of everything else. At first, it was manageable. I was still able to post several times in January and into early March. But after a few back-to-back busines

We just received a WU Out signal only 15 days after the latest one and 8 days since the latest WU In. This quick signal succession is rare in the Active Hodling signal history, but not unexpected. A rally during the decline phase (yellow background) of the strategy marks the frontier between a bear market rally and the start of a new bull market. As the strategy turns more defensive in this phase, a momentum reversal during a rally will promptly trigger a WU Out signal defaul

And we're back! Thank you so much for your feedback and patience. I hope this improved version strikes a better balance of explaining rationale rather than bombarding data. Let's dive into it.

Why Another Signal So Soon

TL;DR

On March 29th, we reluctantly reduced our leverage to align with the Hedge Signal in what turned out to be a costly signal. Since then, the bounce our other indicators were announcing for quite some time at that point occurred and was boosted by the renewed opening for negotiations and ceasefire. We even got the long awaited DE1 signal the following day after the signal. This fast recovery led to our Market Breadth dropping rapidly below its threshold which triggered the WU I