My initial idea was to make my first post of the year a longer piece covering the current market environment, the overall outlook for 2026, the leading investment theme for the year, and a few other related topics. As I started writing, however, I realized I had much more to say about the market itself, and that section naturally evolved into a post of its own. Now that we’ve clarified my views on the current market environment and the broader picture for the year, let’s m

Late happy new year, everyone. Sorry for the slight delay on this usual New Year post. I caught that stupid flu over Christmas—like probably half of you—which pushed my New Year post into the first week of January. The first week of the year is always particularly hectic for me work-wise, but more on that later. That being said, I didn’t really feel the rush, as the market is currently doing its thing: a low-volatility grind higher, with some good days and some bad ones, but

I’m glad to introduce the latest addition to PAND·AI: our Investor Sentiment Analysis section. This new feature summarizes what people have been saying about a given stock over the last 72 hours on FinTwit (X), as well as what has been written about that stock during the same period across most major finance-related websites. This section is particularly important to me and is one I consult on a daily basis (yes we had an internal version for a while!). At the end of the d

This week, we have seen a streak of red candles forming under relatively low volatility. Today, after opening in the green, the session turned into the worst day of the series. This naturally raises the question: are we heading back into a full-blown correction, or will Santa soon make us forget these few bad days?

We’re happy to launch PAND·AI today as a new addition to WU Advanced—our take on building a responsible AI analyst, one that is grounded in real institutional data and doesn’t spit out random, hallucinated gibberish. Every graph, feature, and output you see on our platform exists because it fits my actual needs as an investor. Saying it this way might sound selfish, but it isn’t. Instead of building features based on the naïve reflex of a product designer who wants to “add

We may be about to re-enter the market. Our Hedge signal has moved back into the safe zone on TradingView, but not yet on our DataHub. Unlike the discrepancies that sometimes occur with our Option Model, this difference is expected because the underlying data is not exactly the same. For those who were with us in May 2024, you may remember that when we first started working on our DataHub, we ran into an issue: the underlying data for our breadth-related signal was simply far

After nearly three months out of the market, our BTC Active Hodling strategy re-entered the market on Saturday. The data behind this signal is considerably delayed, so the alert only appeared on Sunday. With this morning’s new data, we confirmed that there would be no repainting, so we sent you an SMS alert at a moment when BTC was trading roughly around the midpoint of Sunday’s candle. Since then, BTC has continued to rise. Here is a quick update on what triggered the “WU IN

We haven’t said much during this correction simply because there was nothing to say. We couldn’t identify anything that suggested we were nearing the end of the pullback, nor anything confirming the opposite. We were right in the middle of nowhere. Sometimes that’s just the truth. Even Michael Saylor probably had no idea where we were. Writing an update at that point would have only added noise. Now the picture is a bit different. Something tells us we could be about to se

A non-negligible number of people have contacted us recently about stocks that don’t appear in TuneMap. In almost every case, the reason we can’t find these stocks is simply that they only recently went public. A common example we’ve been asked about is Reddit (RDDT). While Reddit has been around as a social media platform for years, it IPO’d only about a year and a half ago (March 21, 2024). Some of the other stocks mentioned have even less price history.

The market didn’t have a good day today. After last week’s strong gap-up driven by impressive earnings from the major AI players, it was inevitable that earnings-related volatility would eventually swing in the opposite direction. Today’s weakness seems to be the result of several overlapping factors: a wave of AI-related layoffs over the past few days, disappointing employment data from Indeed (since we still have no official data due to the government shutdown), concerns

here isn’t a single, universally successful approach when it comes to investing. For example, while some investors prefer to jump onboard high-momentum stocks to ride short-term waves, others follow the Buffett approach — entering solid companies they understand when those are trading at a discount. Both strategies can deliver outstanding returns when executed properly, and most investors don’t exclusively stick to one style.   Our Advanced Dashboard reflects this duality..

I regret to inform you that this bull market should continue for a little while longer. Yes, I know — valuations across the index (and many of its components) are filthy. If you read my post “Are We in an AI Bubble?” from last year, you’ll remember that one of my arguments back then was that we were not in a bubble — yet. My reasoning was that the “AI reward” was still mostly concentrated among the companies providing the backbone of the revolution. I compared it to Cisco

We initiated our position in Marathon Digital (MARA) on November 8, 2024. From the outset, our view has been that Bitcoin miners would eventually have their moment in this cycle. The stock did experience a brief run not long after we entered, but that wasn’t the move we were targeting. We remain confident, however, in both the setup and MARA’s ability to lead when that moment truly arrives.

In our last analysis, we noted that after our Color Signal from the Margin Signal reached a very heated reading of 14 (out of 15), the chances of seeing much upside before at least a consolidation were slim. That is exactly what happened. Since then, we’ve had several consecutive down days, but realized volatility remained extremely well contained throughout this series of red candles, and the result has been modest: only –2.27% from daily close high to intraday low on QQQ, a

Following the minor 3% pullback at the start of August, the stock market timidly climbed back, with a few small hiccups driven by anticipation of upcoming economic news. Most of those reports turned out to be less than encouraging — a weaker jobs report and higher-than-expected inflation — yet the market displayed notable resilience. This aligns with the view we shared in our last update: most of our metrics leaned on the bullish side, which did not support a sharp downside m

Our SOPR-based indicator on the Datahub has triggered today, which as officially flipped our Strategy into “out mode.” In this post, we will go over what the indicator measures, what its flip signifies, and how this aligns with the current state of Bitcoin and our associated game plan.

We are happy to release our BTC Datahub. This is something we should have done earlier, but the high cost of raw data and the fact that no single provider fully covered our needs had indefinitely delayed the project. What triggered the urgency was when IntoTheBlock, one of our on-chain data providers, decided to leave TradingView last month...

The market went through a moderate series of red candles last week. Although price action looked bearish, the options market didn’t confirm the move. Some of our option metrics weakened slightly, but none came close to flipping back to red. The biggest positive surprise came Thursday night, on the eve of Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, when the SKEW—which had been holding up stubbornly—finally cooled off by 10 points. That didn’t surprise me. It reflected the lack of

As our Margin Signal’s color indicator surged to a striking 14, we viewed it as a clear opportunity to take profits. While not every market pullback is preceded by a peak in this signal, a peak is almost always followed by some degree of retracement. And indeed, just a few days later, the market dipped in response to weaker-than-expected job creation numbers. The decline was relatively mild: QQQ retraced 3.92% intraday and SPY about 3%. Despite this modest drop, fear retur

I’ve seen many recent discussions on our forum about validating some of the strategies that appear in a stock’s TuneMap optimal region by testing them on periods outside the one used to create the map. The idea of checking how a given strategy might perform — or has performed — in different situations is excellent. However, it’s also challenging and requires a solid understanding of the nuances and caveats of optimization.