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Blog
Explore our blog for the latest updates, articles, and posts on the market and Bitcoin.
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Jan 13
The Beginning of the End of the World—or Just the End of the Dip?
After a strong start to the year that suggested the pullback from December 2024 might be over, the stock market reversed course as quickly
15
Jan 3
What 2025 Has in the Cards for the Market
Happy New Year, everyone! I hope most of you had a relaxing and enjoyable holiday season. It would have been even better if the stock market
15
Dec 29, 2024
Strength Test: Arm Wrestling with Market Bears
As anticipated, the market experienced a considerable oversold bounce after the bullish reversal on December 20th. On this day, which...
3
Dec 22, 2024
A Rest Stop on the Path to the Summit
After reaching a peak of $108,000, Bitcoin began to decline following the narrative shared at the FOMC press conference. Initially, and...
15
Dec 19, 2024
Brutal Market Reversal: Glitch in the Matrix or new downtrend ?
Today, the quiet market of the last month and a half turned into a sudden bloodbath during the FOMC press conference.
16
Dec 16, 2024
The Relative Importance of the Price-to-Earnings Ratio in Stock Market Analysis
As of Friday, December 13, the S&P 500 is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22 times the expected earnings per share for...
0
Dec 13, 2024
Early Christmas Gift: Introducing Our New S&P500 Data Hub
After about six months since we first presented the idea of an S&P 500 Data Hub, we are pleased to release it today, just in time for...
21
Dec 7, 2024
NAAIM Exposure Index: Approaching a Critical Zone – A Signal for Active Investors?
As of November 27, 2024, the NAAIM Exposure Index, which measures the average exposure of active investment managers to the U.S. stock...
0
Dec 4, 2024
Quiet Markets, Active Panda: Market Update and Our Roadmap
After writing frequently when Bitcoin was rising and the US election was causing market uncertainty, it’s been a while since I provided
33
Dec 2, 2024
Confirmation Bias: The Silent Ally of Your Market Beliefs
Confirmation bias, a subtle mechanism of our brain, heavily influences how we interpret the data around us, especially in financial...
0
Nov 25, 2024
Why Pessimism Always Seems Smarter
Why do we tend to pay more attention to pessimistic narratives than optimistic ones? In his podcast Why Pessimism Sounds Smart , Morgan...
0
Nov 21, 2024
Bitcoin Knocking at the $100K Door
After taking a well-deserved breather around $90k, Bitcoin has resumed its run to $100k. Although some were saying last week that $93k was..
23
Nov 18, 2024
Has the Decline in Political Uncertainty Led to Excessive Complacency?
The announcement of Donald Trump's reelection triggered a significant acceleration in U.S. stock markets, pushing major indices like the...
0
Nov 13, 2024
Bitcoin Racing to the $100K Mark
Here is another quick Bitcoin update. As you all know, Bitcoin has risen incredibly rapidly over the past few days. Our opinion has not...
16
Nov 11, 2024
The Stock Market Focuses on One Theme at a Time
On November 6, the day after the U.S. presidential elections, the VIX (the S&P 500 volatility index) dropped by more than 20% at market...
0
Nov 10, 2024
Is the Market Giving the All Clear for a Year-End Rally?
A few days before the election, we received a risk index signal and exited the market. Much of this risk was associated with the upcoming...
21
Nov 7, 2024
Bitcoin Breaks Free: What to Expect Next
Here’s a quick Bitcoin update to provide some context on where Bitcoin stands according to our metrics, given the recent bullish push.
14
Nov 4, 2024
Margin Signal Alert: Is Now the Moment to Borrow and Go Big in the Market?
Today, we received an unexpected margin signal—unexpected not only because this signal appears less than once per year, but also because ...
14
Nov 4, 2024
What to Expect from Stock Market Reactions After the U.S. Elections?
Since 1984, during election years, the S&P 500 has generally shown below-average performance from January to October due to the...
0
Oct 30, 2024
A Market with Non-Negligible Risk
The past month in the market has been challenging. Although we haven’t experienced dramatic red candles like those at the beginning of ...
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