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SP500 Alert: Is the bear over ?

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18 comentários


Hannes Sauter
Hannes Sauter
23 de mai. de 2023

Hi Vincent,

Thanks for your explanations. Could you clarify something for me?

The whole SP500 Signal is consisting two parts - the mode outside of a bear market and the bear market mode (phase angle + vix).

When we come out of a bear market we are either long already, because of the phase angle or in rare cases the phase angle has not triggered but the identified thresholds (QQQ 30% / 21% SPY) give us the long signal (like now).


So the complete „end of bear market“ signal consists of different parts, right?

Part1: a non-actionable indicator you coded that catches the typical pattern of a continued advance after a bear bottom. Which has never failed yet. Part …


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Hannes Sauter
Hannes Sauter
25 de mai. de 2023
Respondendo a

Thanks a lot Vincent - got it! Enjoy your holiday :)

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Vincent D.
Vincent D.
22 de mai. de 2023

Same Price target than last week 338.20 on the QQQ. If we keep that level we will take out 30% of our hedge.

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Vincent D.
Vincent D.
22 de mai. de 2023
Respondendo a

Yes whenever we will trade in our account we will inform you.

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Mrbondsbody
20 de mai. de 2023

Hi Vincent, is there a way to see your total holdings. You say your hedged but the most recent update says your net short. “WU SP500 Update:

WU Sold UPRO at 38.49$ and bought SPXU (3X leverage inverse SP500) at 13.50$“ . to me it’s not clear what your total holdings are.

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Mrbondsbody
21 de mai. de 2023
Respondendo a

Thanks for the reply. Makes sense. I am not going to trade this strategy until I am confident that I am replicating what you do as these leveraged ETFs are new to me. Luckily I did not go all in net short lol. all the best

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Vincent D.
Vincent D.
19 de mai. de 2023

Yes. Of course !

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pks
19 de mai. de 2023

thanks Vincent. appreciate if you can record the webinar as some of us may not be able to join due to other engagements.

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