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Bitcoin update: SEC vs Binance

-EXCLUSIVE- Bitcoin experienced a decline today, reaching a level similar to when we previously bought the dip on May 12th, 2023. The dip can be attributed to Bitcoin's current oscillation within a tight descending range, leading to its inevitable downward movement. However, the significant drop in price is primarily due to the SEC's announcement of a lawsuit against Binance and its CEO for selling unregistered securities.

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7 comments

7 Comments


Eugene C
Jun 09, 2023

Hi Vincent,


With the WU BTC Current Position signal, are you always 100% invested when the signal is Long?


When not long I believe you might be neutral are net short depending on the confidence of a moce lower?


Thanks - Eugene

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Vincent D.
Vincent D.
Jun 06, 2023
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Bitcoin is going up this morning as the SEC sues Coinbase. In my view, this is very bullish. Yesterday's news also didn't scare anyone who held their coins for more than a year, as the number remained at 68.38%. Additionally, this morning's reading of the US Government wallet confirmed that the government didn't sell any of their 205,514 BTC before going to war with exchanges yesterday. There is an underlying assumption in my previous sentence that the US government is strategic and not dumb and would have profited from the value they hold (particularly at a moment where Asian capital dominance on BTC has risen by 11%) if what they want was really killing Bitcoin.

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Eugene C
Jun 06, 2023
Replying to

Thanks for update Vincent. I hope you had a nice holiday!!

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pks
Jun 05, 2023

Hi Vincent, as far as i can see, the phase angle went to short BTC as of 20 April. I assume you are using other metrics/indicators to make a decision to keep holding/buying BTC?

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Vincent D.
Vincent D.
Jun 06, 2023
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Replying to

Yes. Phase Angle is only used by the strategy in the yellow environnement when it's time to catch the bounces. It capture sufficient momentum that are indicative in such market condition of a sustainable bear rally. In the green environnement (like we are right now), it wasn't very useful and didnt yield conclusive positive results. In fact the green market is the hardest to play in and out but at the same time one of the easiest to be invested in !

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Etienne
Jun 05, 2023

Excellent work thank you Vincent, without looking into metrics and knowing what US Govt is holding their BTC, you would think that selling right here on the news is an option, but clearly it's not! Good to see the transaction cost cooling off.

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Vincent D.
Vincent D.
Jun 06, 2023
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Replying to

We never know with Bitcoin, wind can turn quickly but honestly the onchain metrics give pretty healthy reading and the potential downside appear to be limited. I think it's just better to hold here and wait. I know Bitcoin is boring recently. That was one of my prediction. Any year prior to the halving see a phases where bitcoin don't do much. But I'am sure that somewhere not too far Bitcoin will become bitcoin again and give us tremendous ride up !

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