An exit on momentum, not on weakness
With today's close $44 under our threshold, our Active Hodling signal triggered a WU Out flag. In the current cyclical downtrend phase (yellow background), the strategy is biased towards being out of the market and will exit on any sign of momentum loss or reversal. This is exactly what happened here. After Sunday's $86K close, we have seen a sequence of four red days that brought Bitcoin back down to $81K, which provided sufficient downward momentum to reach our threshold. A $44 margin is thin, but the signal is rule-based and a close under the threshold counts.
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